The chances that the fired attorneys and Rove's swing states aren't connected is 1 in 10,000

drational at kos does some karl rove math...

first, he lists the key 2008 swing states identified by rove...

You know, I think in 2008, there will be a number of states which will be competitive that are familiar states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, maybe not Florida, Colorado, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, Iowa, New Mexico.

then he matches them up with states in which u.s. attorneys were fired...



then he does a little statistical analysis (i'll spare you the math which i don't follow anyway)...

[T]he odds that the fired USAs and Rove’s Politically Important states randomly matching up the way they did are 1 in seven hundred thirty five thousand, six hundred and twenty seven.

and then, in an update from a commenter who offers a more rigorous chi square (?) analysis, we learn...

The chances this association are random is less than one in 10,000.

to quote my dear, departed mother, "well, how 'BOUT that...!"

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